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Every weekday, Lucas and Luna sit down at the forecast desk to examine the macroeconomic forces shaping the next quarter, the next year, and the next decade. They don't trade in headlines or market chatter. Instead, they walk through the actual data releases—CPI prints, payroll reports, PMI surveys, central-bank statements—and debate what the numbers mean for investors, business leaders, and policymakers. Lucas, the lead, draws on a journalist's instinct for what matters; Luna, the engaged interlocutor, pushes back with the skepticism of a veteran analyst. Together they dissect fan-of-possibilities projections from the Fed and the IMF, weigh the odds of recession versus soft landing, and trace how shifts in fiscal policy ripple through bond markets, currencies, and capital flows. The listener is someone who already knows the difference between a basis point and a percentage point, who reads central-bank minutes for fun, and who wants a conversation that treats macroeconomics as a discipline—not a spectator sport. Each episode leaves you with one specific question: given what we know today, which of those branching forecast paths is most likely, and why?
Unknown Host hosts The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next.
The May jobs report drops Friday, but beneath the headline payroll number, a troubling trend is building: long-term unemployment is surging. Lucas and Luna dig into the latest data—initial jobless claims spiked to 225,00
With the May jobs report due Friday, Lucas and Luna dig into a worrying trend beneath the headline numbers: long-term unemployment is surging even as overall job openings hit a two-year high. Using the latest JOLTS data
In Episode 30 of The Economic Forecast Podcast, Lucas and Luna examine the surprising disconnect between surging job openings and stagnant wage growth. With JOLTS hitting a two-year high of 7.6 million in April while ave
In this episode, Lucas and Luna dive into the surprising divergence between the strong ADP payroll number—122,000 jobs added in May—and the plunge in the Russell 2000, down 1.5% over the past five days. They explore why
April's JOLTS report showed 7.6 million job openings—the highest in two years—yet wage growth remains muted. Lucas and Luna break down the paradox: why employers are posting more roles but not raising pay, and what it sa
Job openings jumped to 7.6 million in April, the highest in nearly two years. Lucas and Luna break down what this JOLTS surge means for wage growth, the Fed's rate path, and whether the labor market is actually as tight
The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) sits at 16.05, relatively calm for a market near all-time highs. But the VVIX, which measures volatility-of-volatility, is up over 2% in the past week to 91.60. Lucas and Luna dig into thi
The job market looks tight on the surface with unemployment at 4.3 percent, but Lucas and Luna dig into the churn beneath the headline: job openings are falling, workers are staying put, and wage growth is stuck at 3.5 p
Lucas and Luna break down how the Iran war tariff is distorting core inflation readings. With the Fed's preferred PCE gauge showing 3.3% annual core inflation in April 2026, they explain why energy costs are bleeding int
Lucas and Luna examine how the Iran war tariff is hitting American households in the wallet, with average families paying an extra $450 on gas and energy according to CNBC. They discuss how this geopolitical shock is com
Lucas and Luna dig into the CNBC headline that every US household is paying an extra $450 on gas and energy because of the Iran war. They break down how that number is calculated, why energy inflation is stickier than co
Lucas and Luna dig into the latest data showing core inflation at 3.3% and the impact of the Iran conflict on energy costs, which are costing the average U.S. household an extra $450 annually. They explore why energy inf
The Fed has held rates steady at 3.64 percent since January 2026, and the bond market is starting to signal impatience. Lucas and Luna dig into why the Fed is paralyzed between sticky core inflation (3.3 percent in April
The yield curve has been steepening sharply in late May 2026, with the spread between 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields widening to nearly a percentage point. Lucas and Luna explain what's driving this move — from stick
Lucas and Luna examine a growing divide in the U.S. economy: while real GDP growth ticked up to 1.6% in Q1 2026 and the S&P 500 sits at 7,564, the housing market is sending a different signal. Home prices remain elevated
Lucas and Luna dig into a puzzle from the May 28 data: core PCE hit 3.3% annualized in April, but consumer surveys and anecdotes suggest inflation feels far more painful. Lucas points to the gap between the official 'bas
Episode 16 of The Economic Forecast Podcast drills into one of the most surprising moves in markets this week: the yield curve is steepening, and fast. Lucas and Luna break down the mechanics behind the ten-year yield fa
Home prices are cooling across the US, but rent inflation remains stubbornly high. Lucas and Luna unpack why the two markets have decoupled, using May 2026 CPI data showing shelter costs up 5.2% year-over-year despite a
In this episode of The Economic Forecast Podcast, Lucas and Luna unpack the growing divergence between inflation expectations and bond yields in late May 2026. Despite consumer sentiment hitting a record low and the ten-
In this episode of The Economic Forecast Podcast, Lucas and Luna examine the striking divergence between the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500 in late May 2026. With the Russell up 6.1% over the past week against the S&P 500'
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The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next is hosted by Unknown Host. The show is categorised under Business and has published 0 episodes.
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Episodes of The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next average 8 minutes. a focused format where a clear narrative arc and tight preparation matter most.
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