society
Hosted by The Bayesian Conspiracy · society · EN-US
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Guest openness
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Signup to Generate a PitchRecent episodes include "273 – Vaden Masrani on… Critical Rationalism?" (28 October 2026, 120 minutes), "BayesWatch – Stephan on EA/Rat differences, Iliad Intensive, & the AI Safety Musical" (11 October 2026, 54 minutes), and "272 – Rat Goss, and Podcast Meta" (7 October 2026, 127 minutes).
The Bayesian Conspiracy publishes roughly weekly, with episodes averaging 86 minutes across 352 episodes.
Booking probability for The Bayesian Conspiracy is 46%, and the host is rated Selective on guests. The Bayesian Conspiracy requires a Pod Score of 80 or higher. The Bayesian Conspiracy's contact route on record: verified email.
The Bayesian Conspiracy is a society podcast with 352 episodes published.
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The Bayesian Conspiracy
Crit-rat Vaden Masrani of the Increments podcast joins us to talk about the difference between Critical Rationalism and Bayesian Rationalism. We get kinda side-tracked, Eneasz isn’t happy about it. LINKS...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
Stephan Wäldchen at Lighthaven See this video on YouTube Apply to the Illiad Intensive Out of this Box – the AI Musical
The Bayesian Conspiracy
A bunch of Rationalist gossip and updates, and a meta discussion about the podcast. LINKS Caroline Ellison has joined Manifund TracingWoodgrains on Austin + WBE OpenAI Scraps Release of New AI Model Over Safety Concerns...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
Moma talks about how Aella’s influence makes her community safer for women. Also her SlutCon 2026 experience. See video at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lk9EKkpDMFg&feature=youtu.be
The Bayesian Conspiracy
We talk to Keltan, from MIRI, about his opinions of short form video, PlzDontKillUs, telling our parents about AI, and how Eneasz’s first short-form video fares. LINKS Keltan’s Twitter (and secret substack...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
We asked Matt to come on for a different topic, and we had to pivot to the latest AI stuff because it’s so big. LINKS Rick Rescorla, a 9/11 hero we talk about Our previous episodes on The Void pt1 and pt2, and...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
A lot of updates and feedback before the main post. Then we get into The Power to Demolish Bad Arguments by Liron. LINKS The Power to Demolish Bad Arguments The Overhang forecasting & futurism conference in DC I...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
Vishal talks about PlzDontKillUs and short form video culture. Plus AI Doom! Vishal’s Blog Vishal’s Compute Cop video, and also all the rest
The Bayesian Conspiracy
Milo’s favorite video – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I8YYwlIWI2E plzdontkillus – https://portal.plzdontkillus.com/home Original video:
The Bayesian Conspiracy
Jessiah Mellot talks about HPMOR, and the video essay he made about HPMOR for PlzDontKillUs. Watch this on Youtube here see Jessiah’s video essay here
The Bayesian Conspiracy
First feedback, then we talk about OpenAI’s latest megamodel independently commiting cybercrime in a world-first incident. Then the Haters who hate altruism when it’s the outgroup’s charities. Also a...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
We go through AI2040 Plan A in years. LINKS AI-2040 AskWho Casts Pro Tomas Bjartur’s “The Company Man” and “The Origami Men” Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow Chat, Full Video...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
Steven is joined by the hosts of the Sex and Sensibility podcast! Join us as we explore the vibrant world of VibeCamp, a unique gathering where creativity, curiosity, and community collide. From unconventional events...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
Eneasz and Steven are at LessOnline/SummerCamp and Steven was lucky enough to attend a short presentation by Damon (Daystar Eld) and Ivy on How to Become a Romantic. The presentation was too short for Steven’s...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
Our values are robust against Moloch because they were forged in his flames. LINKS When does competition lead to recognisable values? Our episode 18 – Robin Hanson Interview Chex Quest FarmKind – Animal Welfare Offsets...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
In Episode 258 we talked about EA Veganism for a bit… and that bit was not long enough. So here we go again! Fill out Steven’s 3-question survey! LINKS Our episode 258 – How Effective Altruism Has Evolved EA...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
The stupid red-button/blue-button discourse came back. Eneasz thought he could sit out this round until Aella went Chaos God with her social media app, Glosso. Fill out our new 2-question survey! LINKS PlzDontKillUs...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
We discuss how far the right to be wrong goes, a recent intra-rat kerfuffle, and why random violence is bad. And it’s secretly all about AI Doom. Fill out our 2-question survey! LINKS One Week in the Rat Farm...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
Matt returns to discuss a post urging us to chill out on AI if there isn’t imminent doom in 2028. There is no video or preshow chat today, due to user error in setting up an in-person video recording. Sorry. 🙁...
The Bayesian Conspiracy
We talk about three EA-adjacent articles, hitting veganism, directing your donations, and community. LINKS Why you should eat meat – even if you hate factory farming by KatWoods Donations, The Fifth Year, by Jenn...
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