
Episode #149
We Got India Right and Still Lost + UiPath Beat Earnings and Fell 17%. Here's Why $NDIA, $PATH, $UBER (E149)
Monkey is surrounded by Tesla robotaxis in Austin and the rides are cheaper than Uber. Luke has three years of hindsight on the India thesis: the macro delivered, the trade didn't. In between, UiPath beat earnings and fell 17%, and Monkey explains why he sold his January call the week before. Tesla robotaxis are undercutting $UBER on price. Pelosi and Trump are both buying the stock anyway ️ Uber's defence is Congress: lobbying for a minimum share of human-driven rides $PATH went from scripted bots to Maestro: agents decide, robots execute, humans approve Stock-based comp cut from 43% of revenue to 11%. Then a beat, a flat guide, and a 17% drop "Take off the long-term investor hat, put on the trader's hat": the anchored VWAP line and the $15 call sold for a 65% gain "I was thinking of getting back in, but I couldn't sleep well." Luke: UiPath "niched and probably dead" S&P 500 up 85% since the May 2023 India episodes. $NDIA up 27%. $IIND up 17% The rupee loop: AI shrinks India's $200bn services exports, the currency slides, foreign returns evaporate Wendell Berry's death, a life of depth versus a life of efficiency, and his nine rules for a new tool SEGMENTS00:00 Cold open00:41 Intro05:12 Tesla robotaxis vs $UBER, Pelosi and Trump buying, lobbying Congress16:07 Wendell Berry: depth vs efficiency, the nine rules, protecting time from technology35:40 A live show for Patreons?37:20 $PATH: from robotic process automation to Maestro41:31 The Fiscal.ai chart: ARR up, stock-based comp down45:03 Should you buy UiPath? The trader's hat, the anchored VWAP line, selling the call58:22 India revisited: the 2023 thesis, three years on01:01:37 India vs the S&P 500 chart01:04:44 The rupee loop and the AI threat to services exports01:12:26 "Update our mental models of what counts as safe in 2026"01:13:56 Hare and tortoise: next week's King of the Jungle check-in01:15:01 Close********** If you want to see our furry faces, this podcast is also available on YouTube at youtube.com/@WallStreetWildlife?sub_confirmation=1 ********** SUPPORT THE SHOW AND BECOME A PATREON: wallstreetwildlife.com ********** Follow us at: x.com/7LukeHallard x.com/7FlyingPlatypus ********** Fiscal.AI is the Complete Stock Research Platform for fundamental investors. With its beautiful design and institutional-quality data, Fiscal AI is incredibly powerful and easy to use. Get 15% off any premium plan with: fiscal.ai/wildlife ********** Monkey’s “Zen, Nietzsche, How to Live” Substack: firephilosophy.substack.com ********** To use the same portfolio tracking tool as Luke, check-out: portseido.com/?fpr=lukehallard ********** Disclosure: Wall Street Wildlife hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation ********** Fed up with the stock market giving you a hard time? - Invest like seasoned pros with over 40 years in the game - Discover the world's leading companies - Sharpen your best investing practices and ditch the worst - Learn how to start investing - Essential investing principles to boost your returns KEYWORDS: UiPath, PATH stock, UiPath earnings, Maestro, robotic process automation, AI agents, Uber, UBER stock, Tesla robotaxi, Austin robotaxi, Waymo, Wayve, Nancy Pelosi stock tracker, India investing, NDIA, IIND, Nifty, rupee, India IT services, TCS, Wendell Berry, investing podcast, stock analysis, Wall Street Wildlife, anchored VWAP, selling covered calls, King of the Jungle portfolio

