
The Sovereign Life with Dale Warburton
#107 - Stop Doing Moon Boy Maths With Your Bitcoin Retirement
I want Bitcoin to rocket as much as anyone. But after six years in this space, watching the price move nothing like the macro setup promised, I've had to abandon moon boy maths completely. In this episode I walk through why hyper-bitcoinization isn't coming, why the total-addressable-market pitch for Bitcoin doesn't hold up against what gold has actually done, and two real frameworks for thinking about growth: what the best public companies in history have compounded at since their IPO, and what Bitcoin's own 200-week moving average says about its own trajectory. Both point to the same place, a 20 to 30 percent compound annual growth rate over the next couple of decades, not the 50 to 60 percent the hopium crowd is still selling. I also get into why I'd rather borrow against my Bitcoin than sell it, and the tax trap in Australia that catches people who don't read the fine print on their loan terms. There's a free calculator at whybitcoinshow.com if you want to run your own numbers against a realistic growth rate instead of a moon boy one. Proudly sponsored by My Bitcoin Will: https://www.mybitcoinwill.com. Get your FREE Bitcoin Inheritance Diagnostic to see where your plan stands. Use code SOVEREIGNLIFEPOD at checkout for 10% off. Need self-custody support or guidance? Book a discovery call with Bitcoin Mentor Follow me on X at https://x.com/Dale21M and subscribe to the channel to stay up to date with the latest episode on all things personal sovereignty.

