The Follio Property Podcast

Sick of the same old property myths and bad advice? So are we. The Follio Property Podcast delivers real talk on the Australian property market, cutting through the noise to give you insights and education that actually matters. Hosted by property experts Lachlan Delahunty and Reece Beddall, we break down the latest market trends, expose industry topics, and give you the information needed to make smarter property decisions. Whether you're buying your first home, building a portfolio or just trying to make sense of the market, we've got you covered.

The Follio Property Podcast is a business podcast hosted by Lachlan Delahunty and Reece Beddall, with 106 episodes on record and a Required Pod Score of 80. PitchCentric scores this show on Booking Probability, Listen Score, and live audience signals refreshed every 24 hours.

Lachlan Delahunty and Reece Beddall hosts The Follio Property Podcast, a business show with 106 episodes published.

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  Episode #94

  Major Banks Predicting 8% Crash Will Actually Cause Prices to Rise | Property Experts

  Aug 20, 202629 minS2

  The Big Four banks just published their 2027 property forecasts, and they don't agree. ANZ is tipping falls across the board while CBA and Westpac are forecasting growth, a spread of nearly 10% on the same market. Free Investment Report : https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=ep&utm_medium=94&utm_campaign=propstac Contact Us: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=ep&utm_medium=94&utm_campaign=contact_us The Big Four banks can't agree on Australia's 2027 property market, and the gap is staggering. One bank predicts a national house price crash while another forecasts solid growth. In this episode of the Follio Property Podcast, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down every major bank forecast for Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth, and reveal which prediction the data actually supports. Lachlan and Reece go beyond the headlines to expose why bank forecasts keep getting it wrong. They unpack the supply and demand dynamics driving each capital city, why interest rate cuts could trigger an instant rebound, and the real truth behind automated valuation models that could be overvaluing your property by up to 10%. What we cover in this video ✅ The complete 2027 forecasts from ANZ, NAB, CBA and Westpac, city by city ✅ Why there's a 10% gap between the most bearish and most bullish bank ✅ The interest rate trigger that could spark an immediate Sydney and Melbourne recovery ✅ Why automated valuations from banks and realestate.com.au are 5 to 10% overinflated ✅ The truth about negative equity and the 5% deposit scheme ✅ What the new SMSF lending restrictions mean for your property strategy Timestamps: 00:00 Intro: the banks warn of more price falls 01:48 ANZ: the only major forecasting falls across 2027 05:21 NAB, CBA and Westpac: a 10% spread in forecasts 06:30 Lachlan's call: why the worst may be behind us 10:37 The 5% deposit scheme and negative equity 11:09 Why the property valuations you see online are wrong 17:06 The Perth "price falls" article, fact-checked 21:10 How subdivision and new supply drag the median 23:33 Why new apartments don't always lower your value 25:27 The SMSF lending changes and the strategy pivot About The Follio Property Podcast Each week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical. Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/ Contact Us: info@follio.com.au Follow Us on Social: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLyw Lachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/ Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/ Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandes https://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/ Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions Key Themes: Australian property market forecast | property investment Australia | house price predictions | real estate Australia | Perth property market | Brisbane property market #AustralianProperty #PropertyMarket #RealEstateAustralia #PropertyInvestment #HousePrices #PerthProperty #BrisbaneProperty #SydneyProperty #MelbourneProperty #HousingMarket #FirstHomeBuyer #PropertyForecast #BankForecasts #AustralianRealEstate #PropertyPodcast

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  Episode #93

  The Data That Predicts Exactly How Far Australian Property Prices Fall

  Aug 18, 202638 minS2

  Last week was the worst week for the Australian property market in all of 2026, with Sydney alone down almost half a percent in seven days. But the more useful question is how far each market actually falls from here, and Lachlan Delahunty has the data to answer it. Real Estate Agent Callout : jonathan@follio.com.au Access PropStac : https://follio.com.au/propstac-waitlist/?utm_source=ep&utm_medium=93&utm_campaign=propstac Contact Us: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/ In the first of the new weekly market update, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down seven days of Cotality data across every capital city. They walk through Sydney's worst weekly fall on record this year, why prestige suburbs are being hit far harder than the affordable end, and why Melbourne's sub one million dollar market is running hot even as the median keeps sliding. The core of the episode is the affordability index, the share of the average wage consumed by the average mortgage, and how it predicts when a market tops out and how far it corrects. On today's numbers, Sydney sits well above its historical ceiling and would need to fall around 12% to return to it, while Melbourne sits well below its ceiling with real runway left. Lachlan also explains why Brisbane's run may be ending, why the end of the SMSF lending window may have driven this particular week, why he believes you shouldn't be selling into a falling market without a reason, and where the next cycle is likely to begin. What we cover: ✅ Why last week was the worst week for property in 2026 ✅ What Lachlan meant by "the worst is behind us," and what he now stands corrected on ✅ Sydney's worst weekly fall on record this year and why prestige is hurting most ✅ Why Melbourne's sub one million dollar market is one of the hottest in the country ✅ Brisbane hitting its affordability ceiling and the oversupply risk building ✅ Adelaide and Perth, and how the SMSF deadline may have shaped the week ✅ How the affordability index predicts exactly how far each market falls ✅ Why Sydney may need to fall around 12% while Melbourne has runway left ✅ The widening gap between house and unit prices and the opportunity it creates ✅ Why Melbourne may lead the next cycle, and why Follio stays cautious on Darwin Timestamps: 00:00 Intro: the worst week for Australian property in 2026 03:21 What "the worst is behind us" actually meant 05:49 Sydney: the worst weekly fall on record this year 07:28 Why the prestige markets are hurting most 08:44 Melbourne: why the sub one million dollar market runs hot 11:40 Brisbane: the wheels come off and the oversupply risk 13:09 Adelaide, Perth and the SMSF deadline effect 18:00 The affordability index: how far each market can fall 30:32 The cycle: why Melbourne may lead the next decade 33:46 Darwin: why Follio stays cautious About The Follio Property Podcast Each week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical. Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/ Contact Us: info@follio.com.au Follow Us on Social: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLyw Lachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/ Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/ Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandes https://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/ Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions Key Themes: Australian property market update | affordability index | Sydney property market | Melbourne property market | Brisbane property market | Perth property market | house prices falling 2026 | units versus houses | property market cycle | Follio property podcast #AustralianProperty #PropertyMarketUpdate #PropertyInvesting #HousePrices #AffordabilityIndex #SydneyProperty #MelbourneProperty #BrisbaneProperty #PerthProperty #PropertyMarket2026 #RealEstateAustralia #CotalityData #PropertyCycle #FollioPropertyPodcast

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  Episode #92

  Lending Data Reveals What Banks Don't Want You to Know | Property Market Analysis

  Aug 14, 202625 minS2

  New lending figures show investor activity down 8.6% and first home buyers still falling, and yet the more surprising story is where the price falls are actually landing: the most expensive suburbs, not the affordable ones. Join the PropStac Waitlist : https://follio.com.au/propstac-waitlist/?utm_source=ep&utm_medium=92&utm_campaign=propstac Start you investment journery : https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=ep&utm_medium=92&utm_campaign=contact_us Three major data sets landed on the same day, and Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break all three down live. They start with the ABS lending figures to June, why the post-budget drop is smaller than expected but only captures half a month of the fallout, and why the next quarter will likely be far more significant. Lachlan also explains why banks losing volume could make debt easier to access over the next six to twelve months. From there they turn to the migration data, where permanent arrivals rose while short-term arrivals fell, and what a shift toward skilled migration means for housing and the economy. Then into the Cotality figures: how far each capital would fall in a downturn scenario, why Melbourne may be closer to its floor than any other market, and why the prestige end is taking a far bigger hit than the affordable end. They close on investor share by state, including Victoria at 41% and Tasmania at a striking 73%, and the case building around Melbourne heading into the Victorian election. What we cover: ✅ ABS lending data: investor activity down 8.6% and why the next quarter will be worse ✅ The RBA hold, easing US inflation, and the odds of one more rate rise this year ✅ Why banks losing market share could make borrowing easier soon ✅ Migration data: permanent arrivals up 7.8% while short-term arrivals fall ✅ Cotality peak prices and how far each capital would fall in a 20% downturn ✅ Why Melbourne may be near its floor and set to rebound fastest ✅ The two-speed economy across Adelaide, Brisbane and Perth ✅ Why prestige suburbs are falling four to five times faster than affordable ones ✅ Investor share by state: Victoria at 41% and Tasmania at 73% ✅ The Melbourne outlook heading into the Victorian election Timestamps: 00:00 Intro: three data releases in one day 01:02 ABS lending data: investor activity down 8.6% 03:40 The RBA hold, US inflation and the rate outlook 06:36 Migration data: permanent arrivals up, short-term down 09:48 Cotality: peak prices and the downturn scenarios 11:21 Why Melbourne may be near its floor 14:17 The two-speed economy: Adelaide, Brisbane, Perth 16:40 Why the prestige markets are falling fastest 21:18 Investor share by state: Victoria 41%, Tasmania 73% 22:12 The Melbourne outlook and the Victorian election About The Follio Property Podcast Each week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical. Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/ Contact Us: info@follio.com.au Follow Us on Social: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLyw Lachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/ Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/ Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandes https://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/ Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions Key Themes: Australian property market update 2026 | abs lending data | investor lending Australia | migration data Australia | Cotality property data | Melbourne property market | prestige property market | two speed property market | Tasmania investor share | Follio property podcast #AustralianProperty #PropertyMarketUpdate #PropertyInvesting #ABSData #InvestorLending #FirstHomeBuyers #Migration #CotalityData #MelbourneProperty #SydneyProperty #PrestigeProperty #TwoSpeedMarket #RBA #InterestRates #FollioPropertyPodcast

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  Episode #91

  Why I'm Still Buying in Melbourne Despite Australia's WORST Crash | Property Experts

  Aug 11, 202628 minS2

  Every capital city is now flat or falling, some markets by more than 1.5% a month, and yet Lachlan Delahunty just put an offer on a unit complex in Melbourne. This episode is about why the two things aren't a contradiction. Get in touch : https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=ep&utm_medium=91&utm_campaign=contact_us Join the PropStac Waitlist : https://follio.com.au/propstac-waitlist/?utm_source=ep&utm_medium=91&utm_campaign=contact_us Back in the studio together, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty work through the questions clients ask most often. They start with the big one: is now actually a good time to buy? Lachlan makes the case that the market is running at five different speeds, why buying into heavily falling markets is a mistake even when everyone is quoting "be greedy when others are fearful," and why a softer market is exactly where a disciplined buyer finds undervalued assets. From there they cover the real risk in investing outside your home state, and why the cost of doing so is usually dwarfed by the upside of buying in the right market. They break down the post-budget question of whether to upgrade your home or buy your first investment property, why units and townhouses have become far more compelling since the negative gearing changes, and what the latest KPMG forecast says about unit price growth. The episode closes on how couples with very different risk appetites can align on a single strategy. What we cover: ✅ Is now a good time to buy, and why "markets within markets" changes the answer ✅ Why buying into a falling market is different from buying selectively in a soft one ✅ The real risk of investing interstate, and why a $50K cost can be worth a far larger upside ✅ Why you don't invest to save tax or reduce your land tax bill ✅ Upgrading your home versus buying your first investment property after the budget ✅ Why units and townhouses have become more compelling since the negative gearing changes ✅ What the KPMG forecast predicts for unit price growth versus houses next year ✅ How replacement cost and undersupply support the case for units ✅ How couples with mismatched risk appetites can align using cash buffers and worst-case planning Timestamps: 00:00 Intro: client FAQs and the state of the market 02:50 Is now a good time to buy? 03:59 Why buying into falling markets is a mistake 05:54 The opportunity in a softer market: being selective 07:00 Interstate and cross-state investing risk 14:53 Upgrading your home versus your first investment property 19:48 Units and townhouses versus houses 21:48 The KPMG forecast: units to outperform houses next year 24:36 Aligning couples with different risk appetites About The Follio Property Podcast Each week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical. Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/ Contact Us: info@follio.com.au Follow Us on Social: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLyw Lachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/ Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/ Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandes https://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/ Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions Key Themes: Australian property market 2026 | Australian housing market | property investment australia | real estate Australia | capital growth vs cash flow | first home buyer strategy | interstate property investing | units vs houses | PPOR vs investment property | negative gearing changes Australia #AustralianPropertyMarket #PropertyInvestment #RealEstateAustralia #AustralianHousingMarket #PropertyInvesting #FirstHomeBuyer #InvestmentProperty #CapitalGrowth #CashFlow #InterstateInvesting #UnitsVsHouses #NegativeGearing #FolioPropertyPodcast #AustralianRealEstate #PropertyMarket2026

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  Episode #90

  "The Worst Is Behind Us". The Property Market Is Shifting | Property Experts

  Aug 10, 202622 minS2

  The rate of decline in Sydney and Melbourne is easing. Melbourne's auction clearance rate just jumped from 55% to 63% in a single week. And banks are now launching 40-year investor loans. Here is what all of it means. Get in touch : https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=ep&utm_medium=90&utm_campaign=contact_us Join the PropStac Waitlist : https://follio.com.au/propstac-waitlist/?utm_source=ep&utm_medium=90&utm_campaign=propstac_waitlist This is the first episode of Follio's new Monday segment — every week Reece and Lachlan break down the live weekly data Follio tracks as a business: auction clearance rates, weekly and four-week median price movements, listing data, and lending trends. Real numbers, no headline lag. In this episode: Sydney down 1.34% over four weeks, Melbourne down 1.02% — but the rate of decline is now easing Melbourne auction clearance rate jumps from 55% to 63% in a week — what that signals The two-speed market in real numbers: upper quartile down 3.5%, lower quartile neutral to positive Sub $1M Melbourne and sub $1.5M Sydney: multiple offers, faster days on market, competitive auctions Perth listing data declines for the first time in 10 to 12 weeks — a stabilisation signal Spring rebound potential: why Brisbane and Perth could be first to move Is now the best time to upgrade your home in years? The market math explained Mortgage lodgements down 25 to 30% nationally: NAB down 15%, AFG down 20% AMP launches a 40-year investor loan with 10-year interest only — and non-bank lenders are about to go further REIA forecasts rents rising $8 per week, not the government's $2 — what that means for investors 00:00 Introduction: Follio's new Monday weekly data segment 01:00 Sydney and Melbourne weekly numbers: what the data is actually showing 03:30 Auction clearance rates: Melbourne jumps from 55% to 63% 04:30 The two-speed market: upper quartile down 3.5%, lower quartile neutral to positive 06:00 Green shoots: why Lachlan believes the worst of the decline is behind us 07:00 Around the grounds: Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide stagnation explained 09:00 Spring rebound potential for Brisbane and Perth 11:30 The upgrader opportunity in Melbourne and Sydney right now 14:30 34,000 first-time investors in negative equity — the honest advice 19:00 AMP's 40-year investor loan and the 2027 rebound blueprint About The Follio Property Podcast Each week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical. Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/ Contact Us: info@follio.com.au Follow Us on Social: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLyw Lachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/ Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/ Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandes https://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/ Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions #PerthPropertyMarket #WARentalMarket #REIWA #RentalCrisis #NoGroundsTermination #InvestorExodus #AustralianPropertyMarket #HousingSupply #PropertyInvestmentAustralia #RentalReform #FollioPropertyPodcast

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