
Episode #183
Goosby Done? Texas Longhorns LIVE 115
Texas Longhorns LIVE 115 – “Goosby Done?” Hosts: Matthew Miller & Thomas “Tommy” Bresee | TexasVOCFB Sponsored by FanDuel Intro & Red River Line (0:00–1:20) 115th episode of Texas Longhorns Live. Quick FanDuel plug: Texas currently -6.5 vs Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry. Line has already moved two points toward OU. Tommy: 6.5 feels about right. Expects it to settle in the 2.5–4 range by kickoff depending on early-season results. Both teams could enter undefeated or Texas with one loss. Anything over a touchdown would be aggressive. Consensus: If Texas beats Ohio State and Oklahoma beats Michigan, it becomes a rare top-5 Red River matchup (last time ~2008–09). Trevor Goosby Injury (1:25–11:40) Biggest news of the day. Initial reports had fans fearing a season-ending injury. MRI confirmed a bone bruise (non-contact). Timeline & outlook Optimistic path: Could play Ohio State (25 days away) if swelling drops and pain tolerance allows. Unlikely to re-aggravate unless another hyperextension or collision. Realistic: Tennessee or Oklahoma. If the OL looks shaky vs Ohio State, they may rush him back for Tennessee. If it holds up, they use the bye and target Oklahoma’s strong DL. Miller: Wants him practicing during Texas State week or he’s probably out vs Ohio State. He wouldn’t play Texas State anyway (likely only a half). Both: Dodged a bullet. Last year’s RB injuries and the prior Baxter non-contact injury made this scare worse. Bone bruise is far better than Achilles/strain. OL implications Not a perfect roster; they wanted more portal help. Most likely short-term: Melvin Siani to LT, Brandon Baker back to RT, Cole Hudson (23 career starts) at RG. Lawrence Seymour at LG (looked good in limited snaps). Connor Robinson trusted at C. Tommy’s preferred: Andre Kojo at RT so Baker can stay at RG for continuity later in SEC play. Siani this year should be better than Goosby was last year (first-year starter). Interior likely stays intact. They can tread water for 3–4 weeks if the skill players and Arch play well around them. Long-term they need Goosby back to beat elite DLs in a row. Positives: Arch is better, Sarkisian knows how to call around a weaker OL, more playmakers. First Scrimmage Recap (11:46–23:00) Texas held its first scrimmage Saturday. Key takeaways Flu bug hit the team (hopefully done). Ty Anthony Smith rumors (possible team departure) did not materialize — thin LB room would have been a bigger problem. Arch Manning: Two interceptions. One late throw to Emond Mosley over the middle; Jonah Williams made a great play coming across. Another safety was also in position. Second: Screen to Hollywood Smothers; Grayson Littleton broke on it. Neither host is overly concerned. First live action in a while (missed most of spring). Arch historically takes time to find rhythm/footwork. Accuracy on easy throws (not INTs) was the bigger 2025 issue. Expect him to protect the ball. Want a cleaner second scrimmage (3 TDs, 0–1 INT) to build confidence heading into Week 1. Offense is behind the defense (timing vs. instincts). Skill players flashing: Hollywood Smothers (physical between-the-tackles guy they needed), Relique Brown (big-play threat), Cam Coleman, Ryan Wingo (improved hands). Running game and OL looked functional before the Goosby injury. They have a trio that can take over early. Defense Justice Terry generating Byron Murphy comps. If he hits that, DL becomes elite (imagine adding this version of Colin Simmons to the Sweat/Murphy group). Extremely deep DL (at least 11-deep). Eric Noland said 12–13; Tommy agrees they’re at least 11. Mix of run-stoppers and pass-rushers. Secondary coming together: Jonah Williams (big INT), Kobe Black strong reports. Four viable safeties for first time this offseason. Jordan Johnson-Rubell and Xavier Filson also options. Most improved group besides OL in last month. Comments & Player/Unit Projections (23:00–38:15) Indiana winning without first-round OL talent cited as encouraging (but different scheme). Arch doesn’t have to be Superman; just B+ football with A+ moments later (LSU, A&M, playoffs). Easy completions (7-yard outs) are the real key. 65%+ completion percentage would be a win even with a few more INTs. Individual projections Colin Simmons: 15 sacks (Tommy). Muschamp scheme should create more 1-on-1s. Progression + more blitzing. Raheem Biles: ~100 tackles, 5–7 sacks, multiple INTs/FFs. Chess piece; more aggressive than last year’s usage. Flu actually helped depth (Atkinson, Cummings, Akpala got extra reps). Lance Jackson, Zina, Justice Terry, DTs, LBs, and even some DBs all projected for 4–6+ sacks each. Unit projections Team sacks: Tommy 50 (full season, top 5–10 historically). Miller 45+. Last year 38. Spread-the-wealth attack. Interceptions: 20 (up from 16). More aggression + more games. Bo Masco, Littleton, Kate Phillips, Jelani McDonald, Jonah/Derek Williams, Kobe Black, Warren Roberson all capable of multiples. Roberson could be a breakout if he stays penalty-free. Defense ranking: Top 10–15 overall, top 5 in sacks/havoc, top 12–15 in scoring, top 15 run D. ~18 ppg. Feast-or-famine Muschamp style but more feast than last year. AP Poll Reaction (38:18–end) Preseason Top 10: 1 Ohio State, 2 Oregon, 3 Georgia, 4 Notre Dame, 5 Texas, 6 Indiana, 7 Miami, 8 Texas A&M, 9 Ole Miss, 10 Oklahoma. Texas at 5 is fine (anywhere 1–7 would have been acceptable). Tommy has them 2 based on talent (behind only Oregon). Both dislike the large gap for Ohio State at No. 1 (40 first-place votes vs Oregon’s 14). OSU has questions on OL and replacing Downs/Stiles/Reese. Similar profile to last year’s Texas team. Oregon, Notre Dame, Texas are the three most talented rosters. Oklahoma defense could be the nation’s best; John Mateer is the swing factor. At least one (probably A&M or Ole Miss) from 8–13 will finish unranked. Outside Top 10: High on USC (playoff team), Louisville, Florida (could sneak into Top 25). Missouri as 25 is typical. Poll is mostly predictive/internet fodder; CFP committee matters more. Outro Back Tuesday 7 p.m. ET or for breaking news. Hook ’em. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

