Dive into the heart of the markets with MarketTalk and Crypto Market Talk, hosted by Ipek Ozkardeskaya and Feyyaz Alingan. And explore Unlocked, Swissquote’s podcast that looks beyond the markets to unlock fresh ideas, inspiring perspectives and insights to power your next move. Every day, MarketTalk breaks down the latest moves in equities, FX, macro data and global market sentiment, while the Wednesday Crypto Market Talk focuses on Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins and major developments in the digital asset ecosystem. Subscribe to stay up to date with market insights, trading themes, economic news and crypto trends that matter. About Swissquote: https://swq.ch/48Qf9fN We are Switzerland’s leading bank in online financial services and offer our clients innovative and state-of-the-art solutions to meet their investment needs. Headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland, we have additional offices in Zurich, Luxembourg, London, Cyprus, Dubai, Hong Kong, Malta, Singapore, and Bucharest. Swissquote Group Holding Ltd has been listed on the SIX Swiss Exchange (symbol: SQN) since May 2000 and is regulated by the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA). As well as various online trading products - including stocks, bonds, funds derivative products, and cryptocurrencies – Swissquote also provides Forex, Robo-Advisory, and Mortgages solutions. Today, we are proud to deliver our services to + 500’000 clients with access to more than 60 stock exchanges worldwide and can trade over 3 million products through performant and secure platforms.
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Episode #1090
Encouraging news on AI, oil and the BoJ — but not enough
Sep 18, 202610 min
Markets found some relief this week, but the underlying risks are far from resolved. Nvidia revived appetite for AI and semiconductor stocks, yet massive capex requirements, financing needs and shrinking free cash flow remain important concerns. Meanwhile, oil prices eased, and global inventories are falling more slowly than JP Morgan’s earlier “no-resolution” scenario had feared. That buys the world precious time — but not necessarily enough if Middle Eastern supply disruptions persist. Central banks are also walking a tightrope. The Bank of England overhauled its QT programme, the Fed raised rates to defend its inflation objective, and the Bank of Japan delivered another 25bp hike. Yet markets want more evidence that Japanese rates are heading towards neutral. Across AI, oil and monetary policy, there is some good news — just not enough to eliminate the risks. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
The Fed delivered a widely expected 25bp rate hike, putting inflation firmly ahead of political pressure for lower interest rates. The decision triggered a hawkish market reaction, with short-term Treasury yields jumping, while the longer end and US equities showed a more contained response. Attention now turns to the Bank of England and Bank of Japan. The BoE faces an increasingly uncomfortable mix of persistent inflation, higher energy costs, fiscal concerns and a weakening labour market, making the path ahead particularly complicated. Meanwhile, the BoJ is expected to raise rates as policymakers try to contain renewed pressure on the yen. But today’s decisions are only part of the story. The bigger question for markets is how far these central banks are prepared to tighten, how quickly they will move, and what higher rates could mean for bonds, currencies and equities over the coming months. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
During the recording it was unclear, but it looks like CLARITY was just denied. 00:00 Intro 00:25 Disclaimer 00:29 Preview 00:44 Bitcoin 04:04 Ethereum 05:09 Solana 05:45 Near 07:07 Subscribe & Good bye #crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote _____ Discover our brand and philosophy: https://www.swissquote.com/en/group _____ Deepen your trading and investing knowledge with Swissquote Inspire: explore our articles, analyses, webinars and exclusive content: https://www.swissquote.com/private/inspire _____ Discover Swissquote’s culture and join a company that values innovation, diversity and team spirit: https://www.swissquote.com/en/careers
Markets are heading into the Fed decision with a clear message: a 25bp rate hike may actually be the less-bad option. With Fed funds futures overwhelmingly positioned for a hike, a surprise hold could raise uncomfortable questions about inflation credibility — especially as oil prices and Treasury yields move increasingly closely together. Broadly, the US 10-year yield has pushed above 5%, putting pressure on bonds, equity valuations and financing conditions. Yet not every company is equally vulnerable. Hyperscalers like Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta and Amazon still generate returns on invested capital well above their cost of capital, giving them a substantial cushion against higher rates. Highly leveraged and capital-intensive businesses may not be so lucky. Could a firm Fed stance ultimately help anchor long-term inflation expectations and relieve pressure on the long end? And how high can Treasury yields climb before equity markets finally feel the heat? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
The AI trade is entering a new phase. Until now, investors worried about valuations, circular financing, soaring capex and whether massive spending on chips and data centres would eventually generate adequate returns. Now, the debate has shifted to the speed of AI development itself. That change is already creating unexpected winners and losers, as investors reconsider who benefits if the race for ever-larger frontier models slows. The consequences could also spill into the broader economy, where AI-related investment has become an important source of growth. Add surging energy prices, persistent inflation, geopolitical uncertainty and expensive borrowing, and the timing is hardly ideal. All this comes as the Fed gathers for a highly uncertain policy meeting, with markets heavily betting on a 25bp hike despite receiving no such promise from Kevin Warsh’s Fed. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
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