Oct 20, 20261h 3m
Johannes Kasinger talks about how retail crime affects prices. “ The Pass-Through of Retail Crime ” by Carl Hase and Johannes Kasinger. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “ Is murder bad for business? Evidence...
society
Probable Causation
Hosted by Jennifer Doleac · society · EN
About this Podcast:
A show about law, economics, and crime. Hosted by Jennifer Doleac, economist and author of The Science of Second Chances: A Revolution in Criminal Justice.
Pitch Analysis
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Contact path
Public web form
Booking probability
34%
Guest openness
Selective
80/100
Required Score
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Signup to Generate a PitchQuestions about Probable Causation
What is Probable Causation about?
A show about law, economics, and crime. Hosted by Jennifer Doleac, economist and author of The Science of Second Chances: A Revolution in Criminal Justice.
Who hosts Probable Causation?
Probable Causation is hosted by Jennifer Doleac. The show has published 173 episodes to date.
What has Probable Causation covered recently?
Recent episodes include "Episode 129: Johannes Kasinger on how retail crime affects prices" (20 October 2026, 63 minutes), "Episode 128: Diogo Britto on job loss and criminal behavior in Brazil" (22 September 2026, 69 minutes), and "Episode 126: Juan Vargas on the unintended consequences of an anti-drug policy in Colombia" (2 June 2026, 73 minutes).
How often does Probable Causation publish?
Probable Causation publishes roughly monthly, with episodes averaging 57 minutes across 173 episodes.
How hard is it to get booked on Probable Causation?
Booking probability for Probable Causation is 34%, and the host is rated Selective on guests. Probable Causation requires a Pod Score of 80 or higher. Probable Causation's contact route on record: public web form.
Who should pitch Probable Causation?
The strongest fits for Probable Causation are Courts, Police & Public Safety. Probable Causation has a society audience.
About the host
Jennifer Doleac hosts Probable Causation, a society podcast with 173 episodes published.
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Recent episodes
Our AI reads these to draft pitches. Use them as grounding for a pitch that cites a real guest and a specific topic.
- Sep 22, 20261h 9m
Diogo Britto talks about how job loss affects criminal behavior in Brazil. “ The Effect of Job Loss and Unemployment Insurance on Crime in Brazil ” by Diogo Britto, Paolo Pinotti, and Breno Sampaio. OTHER RESEARCH WE...
Episode #170
Episode 126: Juan Vargas on the unintended consequences of an anti-drug policy in Colombia
Jun 2, 20261h 13mJuan Vargas talks about the unintended consequences of an anti-drug policy in Colombia. " The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement " by Mounu Prem, Juan F. Vargas, and Daniel...
- May 5, 202656 min
David Phillips talks about the effects of providing free public transit. " Eliminating Fares to Expand Opportunities: Experimental Evidence on the Impacts of Free Public Transportation on Economic and Social Disparities...
Episode #168
Bonus episode 16: Jennifer Doleac and Kathryn Paige Harden in conversation about their new books
Apr 7, 20261h 10mJennifer Doleac and Kathryn Paige Harden have a conversation about their new books, both about crime and punishment. Jen’s book: The Science of Second Chances: A Revolution in Criminal Justice . Paige’s book: Original...
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- Mar 10, 20261h 2m
Steeve Marchand talks about the effects of prison programs on behavior. " Prison Rehabilitation Programs and Recidivism: Evidence from Variations in Availability " by William Arbour, Guy Lacroix, and Steeve Marchand...
- Feb 10, 20261h 14m
Ezra Golberstein talks about the impacts of school-based mental health services. " Effects of School-Based Mental Health Services on Youth Outcomes " by Ezra Golberstein, Irina Zainullina, Aaron Sojourner, and Mark A...
- Jan 13, 202651 min
Check out my new book! The Science of Second Chances: A Revolution in Criminal Justice In this episode of Probable Causation: Oeindrila Dube talks about a cognitive behavioral training program for police. This episode...
- Dec 16, 20251h 3m
Vijetha Koppa talks about Lethality Assessment Programs used by police in domestic violence incidents. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: " Does the Certainty of Arrest Reduce Domestic Violence? Evidence from...
- Nov 18, 202544 min
Peter Blair talks about occupational licenses as information about criminal records. “ Job Market Signaling through Occupational Licensing ” by Peter Q. Blair and Bobby W. Chung. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS...
- Oct 21, 202537 min
Joseph Doyle talks about improving foster care outcomes. “ Effects of Enhanced Legal Aid in Child Welfare: Evidence from a Randomized Trial of Mi Abogado ” by Ryan Cooper, Joseph J. Doyle, and Andrés Hojman. OTHER...
- Sep 23, 20251 hour
Barry Friedman talks with Jens Ludwig about his book: Unforgiving Places: The Unexpected Origins of American Gun Violence.
- Aug 26, 202551 min
Elin Colmsjö talks about how health shocks affect criminal behavior. “ Breaking Bad: How Health Shocks Prompt Crime ” by Steffen Andersen, Elin Colmsjö, Gianpaolo Parise, and Kim Peijnenburg. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS...
- Jul 29, 202553 min
Sekou Keita talks about how media policies that limit information reported about criminal offenders can unintentionally increase bias against the group they're trying to protect. “ The Usual Suspects: Offender Origin...
- Jul 1, 20251h 8m
Nour Abdul-Razzak talks about her research on a cognitive behavioral therapy program called Choose to Change. “ Longer-term Impacts of a Youth Behavioral Science Intervention: Experimental Evidence from Chicago ” by...
- Jun 3, 20251h 3m
Crystal Yang talks about her research on the accreditation of jail-based health care. “ The Hidden Health Care Crisis Behind Bars: A Randomized Trial to Accredit U.S. Jails ” by Marcella Alsan and Crystal Yang. OTHER...
- May 6, 202537 min
Steve Mello talks the long-term financial impacts of small criminal justice fines. “ Fines and Financial Wellbeing ” by Steven Mello. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: " Report on the economic well-being of...
- Apr 8, 202547 min
Rachel Nesbit talks about the effects of mandating mental health treatment for probationers. “ The Role of Mandated Mental Health Treatment in the Criminal Justice System ” by Rachel Nesbit. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN...
- Mar 11, 202553 min
Peter Hull talks about the effects of a jail-based education program called IGNITE. “ 'Something Works' in U.S. Jails: Misconduct and Recidivism Effects of the IGNITE Program ” by Marcella Alsan, Arkey Barnett, Peter...
- Feb 11, 202550 min
Abi Adams talks about economic abuse as it relates to intimate partner violence. “ The Dynamics of Abusive Relationships ” by Abi Adams, Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix, and Ning Zhang. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS...
Recent guests
Recent guests on Probable Causation. Study who booked and why before you pitch.
D
David Phillips
Head of Devolved and Local Government Finance at IFS, Friends of Aine Center for Grieving Children and Families
J
Jennifer Doleac
Executive Vice President of Criminal Justice at Arnold Ventures, Texas A&M University
K
Kathryn Paige Harden
professor of clinical psychology, University of Texas at Austin
J
Jens Ludwig
Edwin A. and Betty L. Bergman Distinguished Service Professor, University of Chicago
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