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Hosted by Josh Silva and Michael Purves · 🇺🇸 US · EN · 32 episodes
Established thought leaders with verified media credentials.
Josh Silva of Passaic Partners and Michael Purves of Tallbacken Capital discuss the world of investing through the lens of cross-asset and derivative frameworks. The information, opinions and views expressed on this podcast are for informational purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. The opinions expressed may not align with Passaic Partners' views or its client strategies. Market forecasts are speculative and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Consult your financial and tax advisors before making any investments.
Josh Silva and Michael Purves hosts Macro & Volatility™, a business show with 32 episodes published.
Equity rally is broad, earnings-driven, and still not stretchedMarkets can tolerate higher rates until speed becomes the riskAI capex is creating a sustained, structural inflation floor
Equity rally is fundamentally earnings-driven, not war “denial”Excessive hedging mispriced the upsideBonds are selling off because inflation is shifting from short-term to structural
Convexity conundrum: diversifying assets didn’t workCommodities are not tariffs and cannot be altered at the stroke of a penTape bombs are having diminishing impact
More about rotation than directionBonds are still not protectingImplied correlation / VIX is at a record low
Healthy correction in gold and silverHigher nominal rates globallyWarsh’s impact on the MOVE and VIX
Ready, Shoot, Aim FedMisunderstanding of Oracle CDSWelcome back to the ‘90s
Long Vol and long DeltaPaid to be long CorrelationBuy Everything!
Risk-on sentiment is reinforced by accelerated global earningsMarkets go up... volatility goes upThe Magnificents’ P/E-to-expected growth is favorable — not true for the Everything ElseCross-asset correlations are alread
• Surprise — no surprises • Front end is clear • Back end is lost
US Dollar allergy & US Treasury curve illnessTipping point for US Dollar weaknessRisk appetite still going strong!
The winners, the losers, and the in-betweens Old economy vs New economy CapExTrump has Made Europe Great Again (“MEGA”)US De-globalization is leading to Global De-correlation
Realized volatility did the heavy liftingTrade (“Cold”) War discountPace of news flow will slow
What does Liberation Day mean for inflation?Bonds and the Fed are pointing to growth contraction and moderate stagflationTail-hedging didn’t workTrump Put is very different than the Fed Put
The bond market says ...What's driving the yields?The VIX continues to be higher for longer
CEO FOMO, 30 years later.Using lessons from the past to understand risk today.A key difference in valuations, then and now.
CEO FOMO, 30 years later; Using lessons from the past to understand risk today; A key difference in valuations, then and now
The US political risk premium. Market corrections could be violent. Upside may be limited by PE contraction; downside may be limited by two Trump puts.
Rate volatility will likely be higher for longer. Elevated rate volatility means higher mortgage rates. High mortgage rates will contribute to higher inflation.
Fleeting competition for gold. Gold strength continues despite dollar range, elevated rates, and low vol. Silver can catch up.
Options Markets point to risk-on with a higher VIX through year-end. In China, right tail is bid. The AI rotation may benefit China and, derivatively, Europe.
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Macro & Volatility™ is hosted by Josh Silva and Michael Purves. The show is categorised under business (investing) and has published 32 episodes.
Macro & Volatility™ has published 32 episodes.
Macro & Volatility™ regularly covers business, investing. It sits in the business category, with a investing focus.
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