Eye On The Market

<p>Abandon Ship! Topics: midterm elections, Spring thaw in US economic data, Strait of Hormuz oil rationing timeline, AI and data center update, Gulf State pipe dream, Congressional redistricting and Mythos update</p>...

<p>Salem’s Lot: an update on the Gulf War. Topics include international commodity price pass-throughs to the US, the limits of energy independence, Gulf temperatures and their relevance to US military options, the...

<p>Fighting Words. This year we look at energy arguments, battles and debates: the impact of data centers on power prices, the cost of solar plus storage as baseload power, the “primary energy fallacy” that ignores...

<p>New York City now has one of the tightest housing markets since 1960.</p> <p>Watch the video</p>

<p>In this year’s EOTM Outlook by Michael Cembalest, we focus on four risks: US power generation constraints, China on its own, Taiwan and hyperscaler profits.</p> <p>View video here</p>

<p>On the surface not much has changed since our last review two years ago.</p> <p>View video here</p>

<p>While the prior decade was defined by disruption in content distribution, the next decade will be defined by disruption in content creation, augmented by generative AI. This month’s Eye on the Market looks at the...

<p>Mad Libs. This piece is not about how mad liberals are at the administration, although the latest polling data indicates that it could be. Instead, it’s a fill-in-the-blank exercise regarding the impact of tariffs...

<p>In this piece, we look at the AI and data center takeover, and the OpenAI-Oracle deal; the US government equity investment in Intel, the origins of TSMC and how many countries support national champions via...

<p>Assessing US earnings and economic trends during one of the broadest policy shifts since FDR; partisan redistricting, the Supreme Court, the Census and the balance in the US House of Representatives.</p> <p>View...

<p >For three decades until 2020, US healthcare stocks generated roughly the same returns as the tech sector, and with much less volatility. Things have changed a lot since then as the tech sector has barreled ahead...

<p>Every summer, I answer questions from the Eye on the Market client mailbag.</p> <p>View video here</p>

<p>Take a look back at 30 standout insights which are just as relevant for the future as they were for the past.</p> <p>Explore our insights</p>

<p>Throughout history, non-FDIC insured short-term dollar denominated debt redeemable at par on demand has been prone to runs, whether in money market funds, repos or uninsured deposits. Why would lightly regulated...

<p>A brief note on the debt and deficit impacts of the House budget reconciliation bill, Henery Hawk and Foghorn Leghorn.</p> <p>View video here</p>