
Democracy in Color with Steve Phillips
Beyond the Polls: Reading the 2026 Electorate—with Tom Bonier
With the 2026 midterms less than eight weeks away, we sit down with veteran Democratic strategist and political data expert Tom Bonier to take a closer look at what the numbers are telling us about the electorate. Tom is CEO of the TARA Group and a senior adviser and former CEO of TargetSmart, one of the country’s leading Democratic political data firms. He has also taught political science at Howard University. Together, we dig into the battle for Congress, what Democrats’ performance among Black and Latino voters could mean in November, the changing electoral map, and why Bonier says we should take the polls with a grain of salt. Plus, Bonier shares what he’s watching most closely in the final stretch and where the data may be telling a different story from the conventional wisdom. REFERENCES: Tom Bonier - @tbonier






