
Episode #407
407: The Cattle Market’s Steady Decline: What Happens Next? with Samantha Cozza-Wright
The cattle market has been on a steady decline, with both cash prices and futures continuing to soften as producers head into fall. In this episode of Cattle USA Daily, Lauren Moylan and Samantha Cozza-Wright break down what is driving the downturn, from rising grain prices and returning Mexican feeder cattle to increasing beef imports, weaker exports and shrinking slaughter capacity. Samantha explains why producers need to look beyond the latest headlines and pay attention to how these factors are coming together over the long term. They also discuss government intervention, herd rebuilding, beef-on-dairy cattle, retained yearlings and what could happen when a large fall calf run meets a market that is already under pressure. Connect with Samantha: Email - samantha@cattleusainsurance.com Phone - 785-940-5533 Links: CattleUSA Insurance - https://info.cattleusainsurance.com/l/1102253/2025-06-04/288f5m CattleUSA Website - https://www.cattleusa.com/ CattleUSA App IOS: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/cattleusa/id1673147759 CattleUSA App Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.edgarmcbee.cusamobile&pcampaignid=web_share Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/cattleusamedia Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/cattleusa.media/ Subscribe to our newsletter - https://www.cattleusa.shop/products/cattleusa-drive-premium-daily-newsletter?utm_source=ig&utm_medium=social&utm_content=link_in_bio&brid=YWdncwFNXt0EmdzFy5cJJBp84J9g CattleUSA Media - https://www.cattleusamedia.com/ Lauren’s Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/_laurenmoylan/ Lauren’s Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/@Showboatmediaco The Next Generation Podcast Website - https://www.thenextgenag.com/ Key Takeaways: The cattle market has moved into a consistent downtrend after months of stronger prices Higher grain prices could add another layer of pressure to cattle markets Returning Mexican feeder cattle are entering the market alongside growing beef-on-dairy supplies Slaughter capacity is shrinking at the same time cattle supplies are beginning to build Retained heifers and bred cattle could create additional supply pressure as herd rebuilding continues Beef imports are rising while U.S. beef exports have weakened Government intervention can create uncertainty for producers making long-term herd decisions Producer confidence is critical to encouraging continued heifer retention and herd rebuilding Deferred cattle protection and LRP can help producers manage risk in an uncertain market Unborn LRP coverage gives producers an option to protect calves before they are born The next few months could reveal how returning cattle supplies and reduced slaughter capacity interact Chapters: 01:17 The Cattle Market’s Steady Decline 02:30 Cash Prices & Feeder Cattle Futures 03:30 Rising Grain Prices Add Pressure 04:30 More Cattle, Less Slaughter Capacity 05:35 What Does the Reopened Border Mean? 08:00 Government Intervention & Producer Confidence 09:00 Packer Competition & the 37-20 Rule 12:22 The Impact of 300,000 Metric Tons of Beef Imports 14:00 Beef Imports vs. Domestic Production 15:00 Why Expensive Feed Isn’t Bullish for Cattle 17:31 The Fall Calf Run & Retained Yearlings 18:20 LRP & Price Protection cattle market, cattle market update, cattle market outlook, cattle prices, cattle price decline, cattle market decline, cattle market downtrend, feeder cattle, feeder cattle prices, cash cattle, beef industry, beef market, beef prices, beef imports, beef exports, beef trade, Mexican cattle, Mexican feeder cattle, cattle imports, border reopening, beef-on-dairy, beef on dairy calves, feedlot cattle, cattle on feed, slaughter capacity, slaughter space, packing capacity, beef packing, packer competition, packer leverage, Tyson plant closures, cattle processing, beef supply chain, government intervention, cattle policy, producer confidence, cattle market fundamentals, grain prices, LRP, Livestock Risk Protection, unborn LRP, cattle risk management, cattle insurance






